In your opinion, what is the single most pressing and underappreciated problem facing the intelligence community over the next five years?To accomplish this, you must brainstorm what you believe to be the top 15 most pressing problems.
Define each with a short paragraph (which must be included in your paper—see below). Then, you must complete a pairwise, expert judgment evaluation to order them into priority from top priority to number 15, the lowest priority.The first three (3) textual pages of your paper must be the presentation of the highest priority problem and a defense of that judgment by use of facts, examples, reasoning, and logic.Following the three textual pages, you should append your pairwise listing of the remaining 14 areas in descending priority.
Each item on this list must have your short one-paragraph description AND justification for why it is a higher priority than the next problem in your descending list (as you do your pairwise comparison, take note of why you are choosing one over the other). This should take no less than four (4) pages but may be as long as you need to provide your explanation.Remember, you need to DEMONSTRATE that you did this pairwise comparison (so provide proof in your Midterm—
want to see your actual analysis).Your work will be judged based on the quality of the pressing problems you list, the effectiveness of your descriptions of those problems, and how salient your explanation is of their relative criticality.
In addition, proof of use of proper use of the method is critical to demonstrating the analytic skills required to accomplish this project.How to do a pairwise comparisonIt is a method by which all candidates (in this case, your issues) are compared to all others—in a round-robin. Then, you determine which ones rise to the top and those that fall to the bottom in an ordering. The question is how to do this.Here are some sources:The Pairwise Comparison Method from Study.com
Pairwise Comparison from 1000minds.com [webpage]Paired Comparison Analysis article with video from MindTools.com [webpage]Submission Requirements:Define your top 15 intelligence community problems with a short paragraph for each problem.Complete a pairwise, expert judgment evaluation to order them in priority from top to lowest, 1–15.The first three (3) textual pages of your paper must be the presentation of the top-most, highest-priority problem and a defense of that judgment by use of facts, examples, reasoning, and logic.After the first three (3) textual pages, the following pages should append in descending priority your pairwise listing of the remaining 14 areas.Each item on this list must have one short paragraph description and justification of why it is a higher priority than the next problem on the list.
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